Tom Brady
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 13 word markets on Tom Brady’s appearances since 2026, on 13 different words.
History Wall
1–13 of 13, most settled first| Word | May 16latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compete / Competition / Competitive | Settled yes: Compete / Competition / Competitive , May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Draft / Drafted | Settled yes: Draft / Drafted, May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Michigan | Settled yes: Michigan, May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| NFL | Settled yes: NFL, May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Patriot | Settled yes: Patriot, May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Super Bowl | Settled yes: Super Bowl, May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Team / Teamwork | Settled yes: Team / Teamwork, May 16 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 16 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ChatGPT / Claude | Settled no: ChatGPT / Claude, May 16 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Discipline / Dedication | Settled no: Discipline / Dedication, May 16 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Innovative / Innovation | Settled no: Innovative / Innovation, May 16 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | Settled no: Invest / Invested / Investment, May 16 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Raiders / Vegas | Settled no: Raiders / Vegas, May 16 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Tom Brady say during his Georgetown commencement speech? | no transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Tom Brady: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/tom-brady (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tom-brady · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tom-brady · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP