Will Tom Brady say “Draft / Drafted”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Brady said “Draft / Drafted” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 16, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Brady

Draft / Drafted

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Tom Brady yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Tom Brady say during his Georgetown commencement speech? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 16, 2026Draft / DraftedKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tom Brady say “Draft / Drafted”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Brady said “Draft / Drafted” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 16, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Brady says “Draft / Drafted” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Brady: ‘Draft / Drafted’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/tom-brady/words/draft-or-drafted (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-brady&word=draft%20%2F%20drafted · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-brady&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP