What is the probability Tom Brady says “Patriot” next time?

56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Tom Brady say “Patriot”?

Name: Tom Brady: “Patriot” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Brady said “Patriot” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 16, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 20:31 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Brady

Patriot

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Tom Brady yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Tom Brady say during his Georgetown commencement speech? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 16, 2026	Patriot	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Tom Brady say “Patriot”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Brady said “Patriot” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 16, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Brady says “Patriot” next time?: 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Brady: ‘Patriot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/tom-brady/words/patriot (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-brady&word=patriot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-brady&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP