Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays
3-6Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | 40/40100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 100% n=6 | 98%n=40 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 70/7791% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no yes yes | – | 100% n=11 | 89%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 69/7790% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 91% n=11 | 88%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 65/7389% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes yes yes yes yes | – | 64% n=11 | 86%n=73 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 54/7374% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | – | 82% n=11 | 73%n=73 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 29/4072% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes no yes | – | 67% n=6 | 70%n=40 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 54/7671% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | – | 55% n=11 | 68%n=76 from settlement history | No | – |
| Error | 53/7769% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | – | 36% n=11 | 65%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 46/7760% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes no yes yes yes | – | 55% n=11 | 57%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tropicana Field | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Walk Off | 42/7755% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no yes no yes yes | – | 64% n=11 | 52%n=77 from settlement history | No | – |
| Grand Slam | 41/7753% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no yes no yes yes | – | 73% n=11 | 52%n=77 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ohtani | 33/7445% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes no yes no yes | – | 27% n=11 | 44%n=74 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Extra Inning | 27/7735% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no yes no | – | 36% n=11 | 36%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Wild Pitch | 21/7727% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes no yes no | – | 18% n=11 | 29%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pitch Clock | 18/7723% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes no no yes no no | – | 36% n=11 | 26%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Perfect Game | 8/4020% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no no no | – | 33% n=6 | 25%n=40 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 5/776% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=11 | 9%n=77 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/730% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=11 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-05-17%3Agame-mia-tb · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP