# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-17 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY17MIATB · as_of 2026-10-27T10:00:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY17MIATB ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Marlins vs Rays Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Bullpen	bullpen	40	40	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	77	70	0.91	YYYYnYYYYn	0.89	hist	yes
Triple	triple	77	69	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	73	65	0.89	YYnYnYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	72	54	0.75	YYnYnYYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	40	29	0.72	YYYYYYnYnY	0.7	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	76	54	0.71	YYnYnYYYYn	0.68	hist	no
Error	error	77	53	0.69	nYnYnYYYYn	0.65	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	77	46	0.6	YYnnYYnYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	77	42	0.55	YYYnYYnYYn	0.52	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	77	41	0.53	YnnnYYnYYn	0.52	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	74	33	0.45	nYnnYYnYYn	0.44	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	77	27	0.35	YnnnYYnYnn	0.36	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	77	21	0.27	nnnnnYnYnn	0.29	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	77	18	0.23	nYnnYnnYnn	0.26	hist	yes
Perfect Game	perfect game	40	8	0.2	YYnnYYnnnn	0.25	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	77	5	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Tropicana Field	tropicana field	0	0			0.57	prior	yes