St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
2-1Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | 24/24100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 96%n=24 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 56/6192% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | – | 88%n=61 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 54/6189% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | – | 87%n=61 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 51/5789% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | – | 86%n=57 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 19/2479% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no yes | – | – | 75%n=24 from settlement history | No | – |
| MVP | 45/6075% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes yes no yes no | 40% n=5 | – | 71%n=60 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 41/5772% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | – | 70%n=57 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Petco Park | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Error | 42/6169% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes yes no yes no | 40% n=5 | – | 65%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bases Loaded | 36/6159% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no yes yes yes | 60% n=5 | – | 57%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Grand Slam | 34/6156% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no yes no yes | 60% n=5 | – | 54%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Walk Off | 33/6154% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes no yes no yes no | 40% n=5 | – | 52%n=61 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 25/5843% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no no no no yes | 20% n=5 | – | 43%n=58 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 23/6138% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no no | 60% n=5 | – | 38%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 18/6130% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 20% n=5 | – | 31%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 13/6121% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | 0% n=5 | – | 23%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Perfect Game | 4/2417% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no yes no no | – | – | 21%n=24 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 5/618% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | 0% n=5 | – | 11%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/570% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | – | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-05-07%3Agame-stl-sd · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP