# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-07 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY07STLSD · as_of 2026-10-26T15:56:09Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY07STLSD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cardinals vs Padres Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	24	24	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	yes
Double Play	double play	61	56	0.92	YnnYYYYYYY	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	61	54	0.89	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	57	51	0.89	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	24	19	0.79	YYYYYYYnnY	0.75	no
MVP	mvp	60	45	0.75	YYnYnnYYYn	0.71	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	56	41	0.73	nYYYYnYYYY	0.7	yes
Petco Park	petco park	1	1	1	Y	0.65	yes
Error	error	61	42	0.69	YYnYnYYnYn	0.65	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	61	36	0.59	nnnYnYYnYY	0.57	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	61	34	0.56	YnnYYYnnnY	0.54	no
Walk Off	walk off	61	33	0.54	YYYnYYnnYn	0.52	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	58	25	0.43	nnnYYnnnnY	0.43	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	61	23	0.38	nnnnYnnnnn	0.38	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	61	18	0.3	nnnnnnnnnn	0.31	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	61	13	0.21	nnnnnnnnnY	0.23	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	24	4	0.17	nnnnYnYnnn	0.21	no
What a Catch	what a catch	61	5	0.08	nnnnnnnnnY	0.11	no