Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins
3-4Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | 20/20100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 94%n=20 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 52/5791% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes | 100% n=9 | 100% n=7 | 87%n=57 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 50/5788% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 67% n=9 | 86% n=7 | 85%n=57 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 47/5389% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 57% n=7 | 85%n=53 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 17/2085% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 77%n=20 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 43/5677% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no yes no yes yes | 88% n=8 | 57% n=7 | 73%n=56 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 37/5370% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | 60% n=5 | 86% n=7 | 68%n=53 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Error | 40/5770% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no yes no yes | 100% n=9 | 29% n=7 | 66%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Target Field | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 33/5758% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no yes no yes | 67% n=9 | 57% n=7 | 56%n=57 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Grand Slam | 32/5756% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no no yes yes no | 44% n=9 | 100% n=7 | 54%n=57 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Walk Off | 31/5754% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes no yes no | 56% n=9 | 57% n=7 | 53%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ohtani | 24/5444% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no yes yes no | 83% n=6 | 29% n=7 | 43%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 23/5740% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no no yes no | 33% n=9 | 57% n=7 | 41%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 18/5732% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 22% n=9 | 29% n=7 | 35%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 12/5721% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 22% n=9 | 43% n=7 | 24%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Perfect Game | 3/2015% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | – | – | 18%n=20 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Catch | 4/577% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no | 11% n=9 | 0% n=7 | 11%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/530% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 0% n=7 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-05-03%3Agame-tor-min · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP