# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-03 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY03TORMIN · as_of 2026-10-27T07:24:22Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-03 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY03TORMIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Blue Jays vs Twins Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	20	20	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Double Play	double play	57	52	0.91	YYYYYnnYYY	0.87	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	53	47	0.89	YYnYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Triple	triple	57	50	0.88	YYYYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	20	17	0.85	YYnYYYYYYY	0.77	yes
MVP	mvp	56	43	0.77	YYnnYYnYnY	0.73	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	52	37	0.71	nYYYnYYYYn	0.68	yes
Error	error	57	40	0.7	YnnnYYnYnY	0.66	no
Target Field	target field	1	1	1	Y	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	57	33	0.58	YYnnnnnYnY	0.56	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	57	32	0.56	nYYnYnnYYn	0.54	yes
Walk Off	walk off	57	31	0.54	YYYnYYYnYn	0.53	no
Ohtani	ohtani	54	24	0.44	YYnnnnnYYn	0.43	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	57	23	0.4	nYnnnnnnYn	0.41	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	57	18	0.32	nnnnnnnnnn	0.35	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	57	12	0.21	nnnnnnnnnn	0.24	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	20	3	0.15	nYnnnnnnYn	0.18	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	57	4	0.07	nYnnnnnnnn	0.11	no