Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets
7-1Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
18 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Challenge | 25/2696% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 100% n=15 | 93%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 25/2696% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 93% n=15 | 91%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 21/2681% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 87% n=15 | 78%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 20/2580% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes no | 100% n=5 | 73% n=15 | 77%n=25 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 17/2277% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no no yes yes | 80% n=5 | 80% n=15 | 73%n=22 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 15/2268% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 60% n=5 | 80% n=15 | 68%n=22 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Citi Field | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Error | 18/2669% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes | 40% n=5 | 80% n=15 | 64%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 14/2654% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes yes yes no | 60% n=5 | 60% n=15 | 55%n=26 from settlement history | No | – |
| Grand Slam | 14/2654% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes no no yes | 80% n=5 | 47% n=15 | 53%n=26 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 11/2642% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes no no yes no yes | 40% n=5 | 53% n=15 | 46%n=26 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 11/2642% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes yes yes no no | 40% n=5 | 40% n=15 | 44%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 10/2343% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 47% n=15 | 41%n=23 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Walk Off | 10/2638% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no yes no no | 40% n=5 | 27% n=15 | 37%n=26 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 6/2623% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no yes no | 40% n=5 | 13% n=15 | 27%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Catch | 2/268% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no | 0% n=5 | 13% n=15 | 14%n=26 from settlement history | No | – |
| Robot | 2/229% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no yes | 0% n=5 | 7% n=15 | 10%n=22 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/220% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 0% n=15 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-04-09%3Agame-ari-nym · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP