# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-09 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR09AZNYM · as_of 2026-10-26T18:54:42Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-09 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR09AZNYM ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Arizona vs New York M Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Challenge	challenge	26	25	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	yes
Double Play	double play	26	25	0.96	YYYYnYYYYY	0.91	yes
Triple	triple	26	21	0.81	YYYYnYYYYY	0.78	yes
MVP	mvp	25	20	0.8	YYYnnYYYYn	0.77	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	22	17	0.77	YYYnYnnYYY	0.73	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	21	15	0.71	nYYYYYYYYY	0.68	yes
Citi Field	citi field	1	1	1	Y	0.65	yes
Error	error	26	18	0.69	nYYnnYYYYY	0.64	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	26	14	0.54	nnYYnnYYYn	0.55	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	26	14	0.54	YYYYnnnYnY	0.53	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	26	11	0.42	nnYYYnYYnY	0.46	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	26	11	0.42	nYYnnYYnnn	0.44	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	23	10	0.43	nYYnnnYnYY	0.41	yes
Walk Off	walk off	26	10	0.38	YYnnnnYnnn	0.37	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	26	6	0.23	nnnnYnnnYn	0.27	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	26	2	0.08	nnnnnnYnnn	0.14	no
Robot	robot	22	2	0.09	nYnnnnnnnY	0.1	no