Jake Paul

Sports · Personalities & pressersPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 25, 2026, 10:51 UTC

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As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 22 word markets on Jake Paul’s appearances since 2025, on 15 different words.

History Wall

1–15 of 15, most settled first

Jake Paul: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Dec 18 ’25conference	Dec 19latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
Celsius	NSettled no: Celsius, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Celsius, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Cut	NSettled no: Cut, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Cut, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Hydrate / Hydrated	NSettled no: Hydrate / Hydrated, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Hydrate / Hydrated, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Logan	NSettled no: Logan, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Logan, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Netflix	NSettled no: Netflix, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Netflix, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Problem Child	NSettled no: Problem Child, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Problem Child, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Slap / Slaps / Slapped	NSettled no: Slap / Slaps / Slapped, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Slap / Slaps / Slapped, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	29%n=2 from settlement history
Belt	YSettled yes: Belt, Dec 18 ’25 conference	–Not listed: Belt, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Hungry	–Not listed: Hungry, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Hungry, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Knock Out / Knockout	NSettled no: Knock Out / Knockout, Dec 18 ’25 conference	–Not listed: Knock Out / Knockout, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Olympic / Olympics / Olympian	NSettled no: Olympic / Olympics / Olympian, Dec 18 ’25 conference	–Not listed: Olympic / Olympics / Olympian, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Prize	–Not listed: Prize, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Prize, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Prize / Purse	NSettled no: Prize / Purse, Dec 18 ’25 conference	–Not listed: Prize / Purse, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Purse	–Not listed: Purse, Dec 18 ’25 conference	NSettled no: Purse, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
YouTube / TikTok	NSettled no: YouTube / TikTok, Dec 18 ’25 conference	–Not listed: YouTube / TikTok, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Jake Paul: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/jake-paul (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jake-paul · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jake-paul · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP