Jake Paul: Press conference, Dec 18, 2025

Thu, Dec 18Press conferenceHistory onlyJake Paul

Updated

Markets

12 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Belt Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Celsius No–new new word, no probability yet–
Cut No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hydrate / Hydrated No–new new word, no probability yet–
Knock Out / Knockout No–new new word, no probability yet–
Logan No–new new word, no probability yet–
Netflix No–new new word, no probability yet–
Olympic / Olympics / Olympian No–new new word, no probability yet–
Prize / Purse No–new new word, no probability yet–
Problem Child No–new new word, no probability yet–
Slap / Slaps / Slapped No–new new word, no probability yet–
YouTube / TikTok No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPAULMENTION-25DEC18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP