Jake Paul: Remarks, Dec 19, 2025
Kalshi What will Jake Paul say during the weigh in?
Markets
10 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungry | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prize | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Purse | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Celsius | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cut | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hydrate / Hydrated | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Logan | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Netflix | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Problem Child | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Slap / Slaps / Slapped | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPAULMENTION-25DEC19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP