Will Thomas Massie say “Epstein”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Thomas Massie said “Epstein” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Thomas Massie

Epstein

Probability
59% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Thomas Massie yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Thomas Massie say during The Tucker Carlson Show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Thomas Massie say during the hearing on The Second Amendment? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes
Apr 15, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Thomas Massie say “Epstein”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Thomas Massie said “Epstein” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
What is the probability Thomas Massie says “Epstein” next time?
59%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Thomas Massie: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/thomas-massie/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=thomas-massie&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=thomas-massie&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP