Will Sean Duffy say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Sean Duffy said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Aug 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceSean Duffy
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 37% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| May 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| May 19, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Apr 17, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Sean Duffy say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Sean Duffy said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Sean Duffy says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Sean Duffy: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/sean-duffy/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=sean-duffy&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=sean-duffy&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP