Mikie Sherrill
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 31 word markets on Mikie Sherrill’s appearances since 2025, on 27 different words.
History Wall
1–27 of 27, most settled first| Word | Dec 2 ’25episode | Feb 5 ’26episode | Jun 11latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Jun 11 interview | 2/367% | 2/367% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| New York | Settled no: New York, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: New York, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: New York, Jun 11 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 11 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Billion | Not listed: Billion, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Billion, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Billion, Jun 11 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Commute / Commuter | Not listed: Commute / Commuter, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Commute / Commuter, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Commute / Commuter, Jun 11 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Home / Housing | Not listed: Home / Housing, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Home / Housing, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Home / Housing, Jun 11 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Affordable / Affordability, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Campaign | Settled no: Campaign, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Campaign, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Campaign, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Detainee / Detained | Not listed: Detainee / Detained, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Detainee / Detained, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Detainee / Detained, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Election, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Energy | Settled no: Energy, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Energy, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Energy, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Freeze / Freezing | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Freeze / Freezing, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Freeze / Freezing, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gateway Tunnel | Not listed: Gateway Tunnel, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Gateway Tunnel, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Gateway Tunnel, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Healthcare | Settled no: Healthcare, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: ICE, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: ICE, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: ICE / National Guard, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Invest / Invested / Investment, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Knicks | Not listed: Knicks, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Knicks, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Knicks, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Navy | Settled no: Navy, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Navy, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Navy, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Protest / Protester | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Protest / Protester, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Protest / Protester, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Republican, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: Republican, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Transit | Settled no: Transit, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Transit, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Transit, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Utility | Not listed: Utility, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Utility, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Utility, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Weaponize / Weaponized | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Weaponize / Weaponized, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Not listed: Weaponize / Weaponized, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| World Cup | Not listed: World Cup, Dec 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: World Cup, Feb 5 ’26 episode | Settled no: World Cup, Jun 11 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Mikie Sherrill say during MS NOW: Katy Tur Reports? | no transcript | 12 | 1 yes · 11 no | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | EpisodeMention: Mikie Sherrill MSNBC Interview | no transcript | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | – |
| Dec 2, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Mikie Sherrill say on the The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? | no transcript | 8 | 0 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Mikie Sherrill: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mikie-sherrill (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/mikie-sherrill · words: /api/v1/history?entity=mikie-sherrill · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP