Katie Hobbs
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 22 word markets on Katie Hobbs’ appearances since 2026, on 18 different words.
History Wall
1–18 of 18, most settled first| Word | Jul 21episode | Aug 13latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 21 episode | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 13 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Healthcare | Settled yes: Healthcare, Jul 21 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Aug 13 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| ICE | Settled no: ICE, Jul 21 episode | Settled no: ICE, Aug 13 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Trump3+ times | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jul 21 episode | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Aug 13 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Andy Biggs | Not listed: Andy Biggs, Jul 21 episode | Settled yes: Andy Biggs, Aug 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Andy / Biggs | Settled yes: Andy / Biggs, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: Andy / Biggs, Aug 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Bipartisan | Not listed: Bipartisan, Jul 21 episode | Settled yes: Bipartisan, Aug 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Election Denier | Settled yes: Election Denier, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: Election Denier, Aug 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 21 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Washington | Settled yes: Washington, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: Washington, Aug 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Abortion | Settled no: Abortion, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: Abortion, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 21 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Border | Not listed: Border, Jul 21 episode | Settled no: Border, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Jul 21 episode | Settled no: Election, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Jul 21 episode | Settled no: Republican, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| SAVE America Act / SAVE Act | Settled no: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, Jul 21 episode | Not listed: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, Aug 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Katie Hobbs say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jul 21, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Katie Hobbs say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Katie Hobbs: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/katie-hobbs (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/katie-hobbs · words: /api/v1/history?entity=katie-hobbs · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP