Will JB Pritzker say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JB Pritzker said “Iran” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 8, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JB Pritzker
Iran
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JB Pritzker say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JB Pritzker said “Iran” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 8, 2026.
- What is the probability JB Pritzker says “Iran” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JB Pritzker: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jb-pritzker/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jb-pritzker&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jb-pritzker&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP