JB Pritzker: Panel, Apr 9, 2026

Thu, Apr 9PanelHistory onlyJB Pritzker

Updated

Markets

12 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
2028 / Campaign Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
25 / 25th Amendment Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Chicago Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Election Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / TSA Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26APR09B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP