JB Pritzker: Interview, Sep 21, 2026

Mon, Sep 21InterviewHistory onlyJB Pritzker

Updated

Markets

12 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Election Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
2028 / Campaign No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
ICE / Immigration / Immigrant No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Republican No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump 3+ timesNo–n=1 too little history for a probability–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
FEMA No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff / Canada No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran / Iranian No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26SEP21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP