Will Jasmine Crockett say “ICE / Border”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jasmine Crockett said “ICE / Border” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 7, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jasmine Crockett

ICE / Border

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Jasmine Crockett yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

Mention: Jasmine Crockett on The Weeknight · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Jasmine Crockett say during the debate with James Talarico? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 7, 2026ICE / BorderKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Jasmine Crockett say “ICE / Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jasmine Crockett said “ICE / Border” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 7, 2026.
What is the probability Jasmine Crockett says “ICE / Border” next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jasmine Crockett: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jasmine-crockett/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jasmine-crockett&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jasmine-crockett&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP