Jasmine Crockett: Debate, Jan 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Jasmine Crockett say during the debate with James Talarico?
Markets
14 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden / Harris | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Black / African American | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blond / blonde | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hot wheel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Race / Racism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abortion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCROCKETTMENTION-26JAN25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP