Jasmine Crockett: Interview, Feb 7, 2026

Sat, Feb 7InterviewHistory onlyJasmine Crockett

Updated

Markets

13 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Affordable / Affordability Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Black / African American Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
ICE / Border Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Texas Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Race / Racism / Racist Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Debate No–new new word, no probability yet–
Mediocre No–new new word, no probability yet–
Nicki / Minaj No–new new word, no probability yet–
Obama No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sellout No–new new word, no probability yet–
Talarico No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCROCKETTMENTION-26FEB07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP