Janet Mills

Politics · Governors & mayorsPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 23:51 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 34 word markets on Janet Mills’ appearances since 2026, on 25 different words.

History Wall

1–25 of 25, most settled first

Janet Mills: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Jan 24episode	Jan 28speech	Feb 4latest	Last 3	Settled	Probability
ICE / National Guard	YSettled yes: ICE / National Guard, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: ICE / National Guard, Jan 28 speech	YSettled yes: ICE / National Guard, Feb 4 episode	3/3100%	3/3100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Jan 24 episode	NSettled no: Trump, Jan 28 speech	NSettled no: Trump, Feb 4 episode	1/333%	1/333%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Healthcare	–Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Healthcare, Jan 28 speech	NSettled no: Healthcare, Feb 4 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Mask / Masked	NSettled no: Mask / Masked, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jan 28 speech	YSettled yes: Mask / Masked, Feb 4 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–
Protest / Protester	–Not listed: Protest / Protester, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Protest / Protester, Jan 28 speech	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, Feb 4 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Constitution / Constitutional	NSettled no: Constitution / Constitutional, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Jan 28 speech	NSettled no: Constitution / Constitutional, Feb 4 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–
Republican	NSettled no: Republican, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Republican, Jan 28 speech	NSettled no: Republican, Feb 4 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–
Affordable / Affordability	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bipartisan	–Not listed: Bipartisan, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Bipartisan, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Bipartisan, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Criminal / Citizen	–Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Criminal / Citizen, Jan 28 speech	YSettled yes: Criminal / Citizen, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Constitution / Unconstitutional	–Not listed: Constitution / Unconstitutional, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Constitution / Unconstitutional, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Constitution / Unconstitutional, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Crime / Criminal	–Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Crime / Criminal, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Criminal	YSettled yes: Criminal, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Criminal, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Criminal, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
DHS / Homeland / Noem	YSettled yes: DHS / Homeland / Noem, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: DHS / Homeland / Noem, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: DHS / Homeland / Noem, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
School / Education	–Not listed: School / Education, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: School / Education, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: School / Education, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Noem / Homan	–Not listed: Noem / Homan, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Noem / Homan, Jan 28 speech	YSettled yes: Noem / Homan, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Inflation	–Not listed: Inflation, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Inflation, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Inflation, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Maine	YSettled yes: Maine, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Maine, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Maine, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Senate / Senator	–Not listed: Senate / Senator, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Senate / Senator, Jan 28 speech	YSettled yes: Senate / Senator, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Washington	–Not listed: Washington, Jan 24 episode	YSettled yes: Washington, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Washington, Feb 4 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Climate / Green	–Not listed: Climate / Green, Jan 24 episode	NSettled no: Climate / Green, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Climate / Green, Feb 4 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fraud	–Not listed: Fraud, Jan 24 episode	NSettled no: Fraud, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Fraud, Feb 4 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Graham / Platner	NSettled no: Graham / Platner, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Graham / Platner, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Graham / Platner, Feb 4 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Noem	–Not listed: Noem, Jan 24 episode	NSettled no: Noem, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Noem, Feb 4 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Warrant	NSettled no: Warrant, Jan 24 episode	–Not listed: Warrant, Jan 28 speech	–Not listed: Warrant, Feb 4 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Janet Mills: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/janet-mills (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/janet-mills · words: /api/v1/history?entity=janet-mills · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP