Janet Mills: Speech, Jan 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Janet Mills say during her State of the State?
Markets
14 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bipartisan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution / Unconstitutional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Protest / Protester | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| School / Education | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Washington | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate / Green | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Noem | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26JAN28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP