Gary Peters
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 30 word markets on Gary Peters’ appearances since 2026, on 19 different words.
History Wall
1–20 of 20, most settled first| Word | Mar 6episode | Mar 24episode | Jul 22latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 6 episode | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 24 episode | Settled yes: Republican, Jul 22 episode | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 6 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 24 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 22 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 6 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 24 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 22 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 6 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 24 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 22 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 24 episode | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Jul 22 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Mar 6 episode | Settled no: Election, Mar 24 episode | Settled yes: Election, Jul 22 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 6 episode | Settled no: Trump, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jul 22 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| ICE / Border | Settled yes: ICE / Border, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jul 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Hegseth | Not listed: Hegseth, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Hegseth, Mar 24 episode | Settled yes: Hegseth, Jul 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Mar 6 episode | Settled yes: Iran, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Iran, Jul 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump2+ times | Not listed: Trump (2+ times), Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Trump (2+ times), Mar 24 episode | Settled yes: Trump (2+ times), Jul 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| TSA | Not listed: TSA, Mar 6 episode | Settled yes: TSA, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jul 22 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Congress / Congressional | Settled no: Congress / Congressional, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: ICE, Mar 24 episode | Settled no: ICE, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Kristi / Noem | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Mar 6 episode | Settled no: Kristi / Noem, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Renee / Pretti | Settled no: Renee / Pretti, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 6 episode | Settled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Tariff | Settled no: Tariff, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 24 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Trillion | Not listed: Trillion, Mar 6 episode | Not listed: Trillion, Mar 24 episode | Settled no: Trillion, Jul 22 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Gary Peters say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? | no transcript | 11 | 6 yes · 5 no | – |
| Mar 24, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Gary Peters say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 11 | 4 yes · 7 no | – |
| Mar 6, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Gary Peters say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Gary Peters: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gary-peters (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/gary-peters · words: /api/v1/history?entity=gary-peters · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP