Doug Burgum
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 27 word markets on Doug Burgum’s appearances since 2026, on 25 different words.
History Wall
1–26 of 26, most settled first| Word | Apr 20hearing | Jun 13latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 20 hearing | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 13 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Biden | Settled yes: Biden, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| BLM / Public Land | Settled yes: BLM / Public Land, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: BLM / Public Land, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Climate | Settled yes: Climate, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Climate, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Coal | Settled yes: Coal, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Coal, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| DEI / Woke | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Apr 20 hearing | Settled yes: DEI / Woke, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Settled yes: Farm / Farmer, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Hormuz | Not listed: Hormuz, Apr 20 hearing | Settled yes: Hormuz, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 20 hearing | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | Settled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Settled yes: Rare Earth / Mineral, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| National Park | Settled yes: National Park, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: National Park, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nuclear | Settled yes: Nuclear, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pipeline | Settled yes: Pipeline, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Pipeline, Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump3+ times | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump5+ times | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Apr 20 hearing | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Jun 13 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| 250 | Not listed: 250, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: 250, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| AI | Not listed: AI, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: AI, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: Democrat, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE / DHS | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: ICE / DHS, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: Election, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: Fraud, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Reflecting / Pool | Not listed: Reflecting / Pool, Apr 20 hearing | Settled no: Reflecting / Pool, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Venezuela | Settled no: Venezuela, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Venezuela, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Wildfire | Settled no: Wildfire, Apr 20 hearing | Not listed: Wildfire, Jun 13 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Doug Burgum say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | no transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | – |
| Apr 20, 2026 | HearingWhat will Doug Burgum say during the Dept of Interior budget hearing? | no transcript | 16 | 13 yes · 3 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Doug Burgum: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/doug-burgum (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/doug-burgum · words: /api/v1/history?entity=doug-burgum · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP