Doug Burgum: Hearing, Apr 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Doug Burgum say during the Dept of Interior budget hearing?
Markets
15 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| BLM / Public Land | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Park | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pipeline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wildfire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26APR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP