Chris Van Hollen
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 33 word markets on Chris Van Hollen’s appearances since 2026, on 20 different words.
History Wall
1–21 of 21, most settled first| Word | Mar 22episode | Apr 7episode | May 23latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz | Settled no: Hormuz, Mar 22 episode | Settled yes: Hormuz, Apr 7 episode | Settled yes: Hormuz, May 23 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 22 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 23 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 22 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Trump, May 23 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional | Settled yes: Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional, May 23 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| ICE / DHS | Settled yes: ICE / DHS, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: ICE / DHS, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, May 23 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Iran | Settled no: Iran, Mar 22 episode | Settled yes: Iran, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Iran, May 23 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 23 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: Election, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: Election, May 23 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| NATO | Settled no: NATO, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: NATO, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: NATO, May 23 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: Republican, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: Republican, May 23 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 7 episode | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, May 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times) , Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times) , Apr 7 episode | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times) , May 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Ceasefire | Not listed: Ceasefire, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: Ceasefire, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: China / Chinese, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | Not listed: Cuba / Cuban, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Cuba / Cuban, Apr 7 episode | Settled no: Cuba / Cuban, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Venezuela / Cuba | Settled no: Venezuela / Cuba, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Venezuela / Cuba, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Venezuela / Cuba, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Epstein, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | Settled no: Save Act / Save America Act, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: Save Act / Save America Act, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Save Act / Save America Act, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 22 episode | Settled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| War Power | Settled no: War Power, Mar 22 episode | Not listed: War Power, Apr 7 episode | Not listed: War Power, May 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Chris Van Hollen say during Fox News Sunday? | no transcript | 11 | 3 yes · 8 no | – |
| Apr 7, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Chris Van Hollen say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Chris Van Hollen say during his Fox News interview? | no transcript | 13 | 3 yes · 10 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Chris Van Hollen: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chris-van-hollen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/chris-van-hollen · words: /api/v1/history?entity=chris-van-hollen · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP