Anna Paulina Luna
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 35 word markets on Anna Paulina Luna’s appearances since 2026, on 21 different words.
History Wall
1–21 of 21, most settled first| Word | Apr 18episode | Apr 25episode | Sep 10latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Settled yes: Democrat, Apr 18 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Apr 25 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Sep 10 speech | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 25 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 10 speech | 1/333% | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Settled no: Epstein, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Sep 10 speech | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Trump, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: Trump, Sep 10 speech | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| UFO / UAP | Settled no: UFO / UAP, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: UFO / UAP, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: UFO / UAP, Sep 10 speech | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Settled yes: Election, Apr 18 episode | Settled yes: Election, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 10 speech | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| ID / Identification | Settled yes: ID / Identification, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: ID / Identification, Sep 10 speech | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| FBI | Settled no: FBI, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: FBI, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: FBI, Sep 10 speech | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 10 speech | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Congress | Not listed: Congress, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: Congress, Apr 25 episode | Settled yes: Congress, Sep 10 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Congress / Congressional | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Apr 18 episode | Settled yes: Congress / Congressional, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Sep 10 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| FISA | Settled yes: FISA, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: FISA, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: FISA, Sep 10 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: Republican, Apr 25 episode | Settled yes: Republican, Sep 10 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Transparent / Transparency | Not listed: Transparent / Transparency, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: Transparent / Transparency, Apr 25 episode | Settled yes: Transparent / Transparency, Sep 10 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Florida | Not listed: Florida, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: Florida, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: Florida, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Maduro | Not listed: Maduro, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Maduro, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: Maduro, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Pardon | Not listed: Pardon, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Pardon, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: Pardon, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Prediction Market | Not listed: Prediction Market, Apr 18 episode | Settled no: Prediction Market, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: Prediction Market, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Russia / Russian | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | Settled no: SAVE Act / Save America Act, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: SAVE Act / Save America Act, Apr 25 episode | Not listed: SAVE Act / Save America Act, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Whistleblower | Not listed: Whistleblower, Apr 18 episode | Not listed: Whistleblower, Apr 25 episode | Settled no: Whistleblower, Sep 10 speech | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Anna Paulina Luna say during RNC Midterm Convention? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Anna Paulina Luna say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
| Apr 18, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Anna Paulina Luna say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Anna Paulina Luna: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/anna-paulina-luna (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/anna-paulina-luna · words: /api/v1/history?entity=anna-paulina-luna · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP