Will “Trillion / Trillionaire” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trillion / Trillionaire” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Trillion / Trillionaire
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…250 ish million adult citizens in America. That'd be about 1.5, 1.25 trillion dollars. Do you think that that would help or hurt inflation? Tariff…
these insane growth rates that are justifying these multi-trillion dollar valuations or whatnot, just like the 2008 bubble and all this other stuff. It's like…
…change much on my thoughts on the financial reality of these IPOs. I can talk about the Anthropic one, which is coming up, $2 trillion.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Trillion / Trillionaire |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Trillion / Trillionaire” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trillion / Trillionaire” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trillion / Trillionaire” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Trillion / Trillionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/trillion-or-trillionaire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=trillion%20%2F%20trillionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP