Will “Russia / Putin” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Putin” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Russia / Putin
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: the host
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…THE BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT ALSO INTENSIFYING. WE ASKED ZELENSKYY IF HE THINKS RUSSIA ASKED THE US TO TURN OFF THE EARLY WARNING SYSTEM. DO YOU…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…SCENE IN COURT TODAY. TONIGHT, THE RETIRED AMERICAN SCHOOL TEACHER FREED BY RUSSIA, NOW HOME. HOURS LATER, RUSSIA UNLEASHING A DEADLY ATTACK ON KYIV. JAMES…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. The American prisoner released from Russia. The retired American school teacher freed by Russia. Tonight, President Trump's special…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…tonight after president trump signed an executive order suspending sanctions against vladimir putin and look at this tonight the remarkable moment a ukrainian drone rescues…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…temperatures set to plunge. Lee Goldberg is here with the forecast. Tonight, Russia's new assault on Ukraine, and President Zelensky says they feel betrayed by…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Russia / Putin |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Russia / Putin | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Russia / Putin” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Putin” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Russia / Putin” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Russia / Putin’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/putin-or-russia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=putin%20%2F%20russia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP