Will “El Nino / El Niño” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “El Nino / El Niño” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
El Nino / El Niño
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…ALREADY HAVE COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS OUT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ALONG EL NINO. YEAR AHEAD. MULTIPLE HAZARDS IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOOD WATCHES CONTINUE FROM…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Nino / El Niño |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “El Nino / El Niño” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “El Nino / El Niño” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “El Nino / El Niño” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘El Nino / El Niño’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/el-nino (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=el%20nino · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP