Will “War / War Powers” be said on The Beat next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “War / War Powers” was not said on The Beat in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 14, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Beat with Ari Melber
War / War Powers
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | War / War Powers |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “War / War Powers” said on The Beat?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “War / War Powers” was not said on The Beat in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “War / War Powers” is said on The Beat next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Beat: ‘War / War Powers’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-beat-with-ari-melber/words/war-or-war-power (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=war%20%2F%20war%20power · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP