Will “Schumer” be said on The Beat next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Schumer” was not said on The Beat in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 1, 2026.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 25, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe Beat with Ari Melber
Schumer
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Schumer | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Schumer” said on The Beat?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Schumer” was not said on The Beat in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Schumer” is said on The Beat next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Beat: ‘Schumer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-beat-with-ari-melber/words/schumer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=schumer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP