Will “ICE” be said on The Beat next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was said on The Beat in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 25, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Beat with Ari Melber
ICE
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “ICE” said on The Beat?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE” was said on The Beat in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE” is said on The Beat next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Beat: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-beat-with-ari-melber/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP