Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said on The Beat next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on The Beat in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 25, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

56%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil

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Where it was said

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The Beat with Ari Melber

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
56% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Beat with Ari Melber? · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest3:31In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Abdul El-Sayedguest5:27In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Troy Jackson say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes3
Jul 14, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said on The Beat?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on The Beat in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026.
What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said on The Beat next time?
56%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Beat: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-beat-with-ari-melber/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP