Jesse Watters Primetime
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 27 word markets on Jesse Watters Primetime since 2026, on 25 different words.
History Wall
1–25 of 25, most settled first| Word | Aug 24episode | Aug 26latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialist / Socialism | 0 times: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 24 episode | 12 times: Socialist / Socialism, Aug 26 episode, counts as said | 1/250% | 1/250% | 39%n=2 from settlement history |
| Trump | 5 times: Trump, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Trump, Aug 26 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 38%n=2 from settlement history |
| Billionaire | 5 times: Billionaire, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Billionaire, Aug 26 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Aug 24 episode | 1 time: Democrat, Aug 26 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE | 4 times: ICE, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: ICE, Aug 26 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Muslim / Islam | 3 times: Muslim / Islam, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Muslim / Islam, Aug 26 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Usha / JD / Vance | 2 times: Usha / JD / Vance, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Usha / JD / Vance, Aug 26 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Michigan | 7 times: Michigan, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Michigan, Aug 26 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mike Rogers | 5 times: Mike Rogers, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Mike Rogers, Aug 26 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: Affordable / Affordability, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AIPAC | 0 times: AIPAC, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: AIPAC, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| America First | Not listed: America First, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: America First, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bernie / Sanders | 0 times: Bernie / Sanders, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: Bernie / Sanders, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: Election, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | 0 times: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: Epstein, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: Fraud, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gaza / Palestine | 0 times: Gaza / Palestine, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: Gaza / Palestine, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: ICE / Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: ICE / Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Aug 24 episode | 0 times: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 0 times: Zohran / Mamdani, Aug 24 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Aug 26 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Our transcript counts matched how 27 of 27 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Dan Bongino say during Jesse Watters Primetime? | Captions · machine-attributed | 13 | 2 yes · 11 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Aug 24, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime? | Captions · machine-attributed | 16 | 7 yes · 9 no | 15/15 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Jesse Watters Primetime: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/jesse-watters-primetime (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jesse-watters-primetime · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jesse-watters-primetime · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP