Will “Trump” be said on Jesse Watters Primetime next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Jesse Watters Primetime in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 26, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

38%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jesse Watters Primetime

Trump

Probability
38% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Dan Bongino say during Jesse Watters Primetime? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: Jesse Watters Primetime? · said 5 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

5 counted; 7 by speakers the rule does not count.

Abdul El-Sayedguest13:07In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Abdul El-Sayedguest17:01In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 26, 2026TrumpKalshiNo0
Aug 24, 2026TrumpKalshiYes5

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on Jesse Watters Primetime?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Jesse Watters Primetime in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on Jesse Watters Primetime next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jesse Watters Primetime: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/jesse-watters-primetime/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jesse-watters-primetime&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jesse-watters-primetime&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP