Will “Socialist / Socialism” be said on Jesse Watters Primetime next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said on Jesse Watters Primetime in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 26, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jesse Watters Primetime
Socialist / Socialism
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
12 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism |  Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Socialist / Socialism” said on Jesse Watters Primetime?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said on Jesse Watters Primetime in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Socialist / Socialism” is said on Jesse Watters Primetime next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jesse Watters Primetime: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/jesse-watters-primetime/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jesse-watters-primetime&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jesse-watters-primetime&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP