Will Stephen Miran say “Recession”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen Miran did not say “Recession” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-miran&word=recession

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Stephen Miran

Recession

Probability
24% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Stephen Miran yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Stephen Miran say during his speech at the BCVC Summit? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Stephen Miran say during the CNBC Invest in America Forum? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Nov 8, 2025RecessionKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025RecessionKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Stephen Miran say “Recession”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen Miran did not say “Recession” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025.
What is the probability Stephen Miran says “Recession” next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Stephen Miran: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/stephen-miran/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-miran&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=stephen-miran&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP