What is the probability Stephen Miran says “Fed Chair” next time?

24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Stephen Miran say “Fed Chair”?

Name: Stephen Miran: “Fed Chair” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen Miran did not say “Fed Chair” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 03:12 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Stephen Miran

Fed Chair

Probability: 24% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Stephen Miran yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Stephen Miran say during his speech at the BCVC Summit? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Stephen Miran say during the CNBC Invest in America Forum? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Nov 8, 2025	Fed Chair	Kalshi	No
Oct 16, 2025	Fed Chair	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often does Stephen Miran say “Fed Chair”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen Miran did not say “Fed Chair” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025.
What is the probability Stephen Miran says “Fed Chair” next time?: 24%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Stephen Miran: ‘Fed Chair’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/stephen-miran/words/fed-chair (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-miran&word=fed%20chair · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=stephen-miran&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP