What is the probability Stephen Miran says “Cut” next time?

57%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Name: Stephen Miran: “Cut” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen Miran said “Cut” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 06:20 UTC

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Stephen Miran

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Stephen Miran yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Stephen Miran say during his speech at the BCVC Summit? · not listed

What will Stephen Miran say during the CNBC Invest in America Forum? · settled yes

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Oct 16, 2025	Cut	Kalshi	Yes

How often does Stephen Miran say “Cut”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen Miran said “Cut” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
What is the probability Stephen Miran says “Cut” next time?: 57%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Stephen Miran: ‘Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/stephen-miran/words/cut (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-miran&word=cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=stephen-miran&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP