Will “Volatility” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Volatility” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 6% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.

6%from settlement history only · n=9Next: Press conference, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: role: fed chair
Last 10
0/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 9 times
Counts
role: fed chair
Market
9¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=volatility

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Volatility

Probability
6% · n=9
Settled
0/9 (0%)
Last 8 press conferences
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: role: fed chair

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

EDWARD LAWRENCEreporterFOMC press conference, June 17, 2026 · Jun 17, 2026In transcript

…give a lot of ongoing forward guidance, won’t the markets have more volatility? And shouldn’t Americans have more access into what you’re thinking going forward?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

CLAIRE JONESreporterFOMC press conference, January 28, 2026 · Jan 28, 2026 · 9:24In transcript

…driving the U.S. currency lower? And have you been at all concerned just by the extent of the volatility we’ve seen this week? Thank you.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not said

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not said

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · settled no

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What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not said

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What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026VolatilityKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026VolatilityKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026VolatilityKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026VolatilityKalshiNo0
Mar 18, 2026VolatilityKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026VolatilityKalshiNo0
Dec 10, 2025VolatilityKalshiNo–
Oct 29, 2025VolatilityKalshiNo0
Sep 17, 2025VolatilityKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Volatility” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Volatility” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025.
What is the probability “Volatility” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
6%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Volatility’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/volatility (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=volatility · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP