Will “Sorry” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sorry” was said at the FOMC press conference on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.

75%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Sorry

Probability
75% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last 8 press conferences
said in 4 of 5 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Jerome Powellspeakerqa · 10:10In transcript

…role, their bailiwick, and we stay off it. We do monetary policy and some other things, but we don’t—we don’t comment on the dollar. Sorry.

What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Jerome PowellspeakerqaIn transcript

…than a year. You know, we didn’t have to worry about inflation— sorry, about the labor market, because the labor market, unemployment was very low,…

What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Jerome PowellspeakerqaIn transcript

Sorry, say that first—

What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 28, 2026SorryPolymarketYes1
Dec 10, 2025SorryPolymarketYes1
Oct 29, 2025SorryPolymarketYes1

Questions

How often is “Sorry” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sorry” was said at the FOMC press conference on 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
What is the probability “Sorry” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
75%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Sorry’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/sorry (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=sorry · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP