Will “Soft / Softening” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “Soft / Softening” at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 28¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Soft / Softening
- Probability
- 45% · prior
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…target was somehow above 2 percent. Let me reiterate: There is no soft inflation target; there is no soft implicit target—not on this Committee’s watch.…
…indicators suggest that conditions may be stabilizing after a period of gradual softening. The unemployment rate was 4.4 percent in December and has changed little…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…just the two official dissents against the cut, but there were also soft dissents from four others. And I’m just wondering if this reluctance from…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of demand as well as trend. So I think you’re seeing some softening. The economy is growing at a slower rate than it was—2.4 percent…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Soft / Softening’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/soft-or-softening (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=soft%20%2F%20softening · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP