Will “Slowdown / Slow Down” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Slowdown / Slow Down” was said at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Slowdown / Slow Down
- Probability
- 22% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…election coming up and I want to—I want to speed up or slow down the economy.” I mean, that—think about that. If that’s—if that—if that’s…
…out of people’s pockets. But, right now, we don’t actually see much slowdown in—yet from— certainly, none from this. But you think logically you will…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Slowdown / Slow Down |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Slowdown / Slow Down | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Slowdown / Slow Down | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Slowdown / Slow Down | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Slowdown / Slow Down | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Slowdown / Slow Down” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Slowdown / Slow Down” was said at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (20%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Slowdown / Slow Down” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 22%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Slowdown / Slow Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/slow-down-or-slowdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=slow%20down%20%2F%20slowdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP