Will “SEP” be said 5+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on “SEP” 5+ times at the FOMC press conference has settled yet.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
SEP 5+ times
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…any projections of my own, consistent with my long-held views on the SEP, at least as currently structured. In the median projections, real GDP rises…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…can move at any meeting”—but we only ever moved at the quarterly SEP meetings where we had the press conference. So if you think about…
…nominal wage growth, generally show little change in recent months. In our SEP, the median projection of the unemployment rate is 4.4 percent at the…
Yeah, no, I would say, if you look at the SEP from December, you— most people had additional normalization. But at the same time, we’ve…
In our SEP, the median projection of the unemployment rate is 4.5 percent at the end of this year and edges down thereafter. Inflation has…
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘SEP 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/sep-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=sep%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP