Will “Renovation” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Renovation” was said at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (14%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.

16%from settlement history only · n=7Next: Press conference, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: role: fed chair
Last 10
1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
role: fed chair
Market
3¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=renovation

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Renovation

Probability
16% · n=7
Settled
1/7 (14%)
Last 8 press conferences
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: role: fed chair

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

ANDREW ACKERMANreporterFOMC press conference, June 17, 2026 · Jun 17, 2026In transcript

…The other question I wanted to ask is related to the building renovations. Are you considering any changes to the renovations, the projects, just in…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not said

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not said

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not said

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What will Powell say during his January press conference? · our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes

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What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · not listed

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What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not listed

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What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

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What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026RenovationKalshiNo0
Jul 29, 2026RenovationPolymarketNo0
Jul 29, 2026RenovationKalshiNo0
Jun 17, 2026RenovationKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026RenovationKalshiNo0
Mar 18, 2026RenovationKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026RenovationKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Jul 30, 2025RenovationPolymarketNo0
Jul 30, 2025RenovationKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Renovation” said at the FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Renovation” was said at the FOMC press conference on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (14%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
What is the probability “Renovation” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
16%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Renovation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/renovation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=renovation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP